BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 281 Conference: Sunbelt Record: (5-15) Overall: (13-20) Overall Strength = 15.48
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 15.27 86 55 ZZ 155 ( 0- 1) Harding 0.00 * 31.00
2 11-12-2022 Away L 18.80 52 61 1 135 ( 13- 18) LSU 3.54 -12.54
3 11-14-2022 Home W 9.65 82 58 ZZ 141 ( 0- 2) Lyon -5.62 * 29.62
4 11-18-2022 Away L 11.98 60 75 1 151 ( 18- 13) UC Davis -3.29 -11.71
5 11-22-2022 Home W 19.34 70 64 1 280 ( 19- 14) TN Martin 4.07 1.93
6 11-25-2022 Home L 4.06 59 67 1 268 ( 13- 18) Prairie View -11.21 3.21
7 11-27-2022 Home W 14.49 90 65 ZZ 126 ( 0- 2) Bethel TN -0.78 * 25.78
8 12-01-2022 Home W 23.06 58 38 1 355 ( 5- 27) MS Valley St 7.80 12.20
9 12-06-2022 Away L 8.38 67 72 1 334 ( 9- 22) Central Arkansas -6.88 1.88
10 12-09-2022 Away L 2.45 55 80 1 143 ( 14- 17) Air Force -12.82 -12.18
11 12-14-2022 Home W 20.65 68 61 1 255 ( 19- 16) SE Missouri St 5.39 1.61
12 12-19-2022 Home W 12.30 72 65 1 347 ( 8- 23) Alabama St -2.97 9.97
13 12-22-2022 Home W 10.40 77 75 1 331 ( 10- 21) Ark Little Rock -4.87 6.87
14 12-29-2022 Away W * 29.02 60 57 1 164 ( 19- 12) Old Dominion 13.75 -10.75
15 12-31-2022 Home L * 0.06 72 84 1 286 ( 11- 21) ULM -15.21 3.21
16 01-05-2023 Away L * 12.29 45 63 1 104 ( 18- 15) South Alabama -2.98 -15.02
17 01-07-2023 Away L * 16.69 54 66 1 125 ( 20- 13) Troy 1.42 -13.42
18 01-12-2023 Home L * 15.14 58 61 1 184 ( 16- 18) Texas St -0.13 -2.87
19 01-14-2023 Home L * 7.17 57 74 1 100 ( 25- 7) Southern Miss -8.10 -8.90
20 01-19-2023 Home L * 15.24 71 80 1 102 ( 24- 7) Louisiana -0.03 -8.97
21 01-21-2023 Home L * 18.16 78 87 1 1 79 ( 24- 8) Marshall 2.89 -11.89
22 01-26-2023 Away L * 14.92 57 73 1 100 ( 25- 7) Southern Miss -0.35 -15.65
23 01-28-2023 Away L * 13.74 51 63 1 175 ( 16- 16) Appalachian St -1.52 -10.48
24 02-02-2023 Home L * 3.54 62 82 1 104 ( 18- 15) South Alabama -11.73 -8.27
25 02-04-2023 Home W * 28.10 73 57 1 291 ( 11- 20) Coastal Car 12.83 3.17
26 02-09-2023 Away L * 20.89 62 66 1 184 ( 16- 18) Texas St 5.62 -9.62
27 02-11-2023 Away L * 8.40 53 68 1 210 ( 17- 16) Ga Southern -6.87 -8.13
28 02-16-2023 Home L * 16.94 62 67 1 125 ( 20- 13) Troy 1.67 -6.67
29 02-18-2023 Home W * 17.11 75 70 1 269 ( 10- 21) Georgia St 1.84 3.16
30 02-22-2023 Away L * 19.99 74 85 1 102 ( 24- 7) Louisiana 4.72 -15.72
31 02-24-2023 Away W * 21.81 64 61 1 286 ( 11- 21) ULM 6.54 -3.54
32 02-28-2023 Neutral W * 32.47 86 69 1 291 ( 11- 20) Coastal Car 17.21 -0.21
33 03-02-2023 Neutral L * 21.32 59 63 1 125 ( 20- 13) Troy 6.05 -10.05
Averages 15.27 65.7 67.6
Best game: 32.47 = 17 point win over Coastal Car
Worst game: 0.06 = 12 point loss to ULM
Team stdev: 7.55